Shutdown ahead: thoughts
Dec. 29th, 2018 12:58 pm![[personal profile]](https://www.dreamwidth.org/img/silk/identity/user.png){kind=small}
markschuldenfreiTrump's deal-making is legendary for its intransigence - the taking of unreasonable positions and the refusal to budge, the use of lawyers and overwhelming force to encourage people to believe that he won't budge.
The most recent temporary spending bill was all of that - a reasonable compromise from the Senate, heading to the House for confirmation, and a sudden overwhelming antipathy from Trump demanding a 5 billion dollar segment of Wall. The Republican House crumbled.
Come the new year, the new Congress is seated. The newly Democratic House is (I suspect) likely to pass the same bill the previous Senate approved, and send that to the new Senate. Which will have the unenviable choice of being MORE Republican than the previous.
What will that Senate do? Will it suddenly NOT pass the bill it passed last year? Will it try to change that bill (and fail to get cloture, which it will try to blame on Democrats in both the House and Senate)? Will it pass it and dare the President to sign?
If the President doesn't sign, what then?
My premise started by saying that the President has a lifetime history of unreasonable intransigence. What then, indeed?
The most recent temporary spending bill was all of that - a reasonable compromise from the Senate, heading to the House for confirmation, and a sudden overwhelming antipathy from Trump demanding a 5 billion dollar segment of Wall. The Republican House crumbled.
Come the new year, the new Congress is seated. The newly Democratic House is (I suspect) likely to pass the same bill the previous Senate approved, and send that to the new Senate. Which will have the unenviable choice of being MORE Republican than the previous.
What will that Senate do? Will it suddenly NOT pass the bill it passed last year? Will it try to change that bill (and fail to get cloture, which it will try to blame on Democrats in both the House and Senate)? Will it pass it and dare the President to sign?
If the President doesn't sign, what then?
My premise started by saying that the President has a lifetime history of unreasonable intransigence. What then, indeed?
